Showing posts with label the winter. Show all posts
Showing posts with label the winter. Show all posts

Cross Road Blues

>> 8.10.2013

As the legend goes, Robert Johnson met the Devil himself at a crossroads, and sold his soul for the ability to play guitar like no one ever had. Though Johnson didn’t achieve worldwide fame and success until after his mysterious poisoning death, Johnson will reign as King of the Delta Blues for eternity.

A Faustian bargain made in a swirling mist of hoodoo, it’s an intoxicating tale that Johnson never shied away from—after all, it didn’t hurt from a marketing perspective. According to blues historian Robert McCormick (via Wikipedia, yeah what of it), Johnson’s friends and family believed Johnson’s death was divine retribution for making secular music instead of glorifying God with his talent.

Johnson, McCormick believes, accepted the idea of “selling his soul” as a metaphor for abandoning honest work and playing the blues full-time.

Last November, I made the same choice.

I accepted a full-time position with Bleacher Report as a National NFL Lead Writer. I continued working my day job full-time for weeks afterwards to handle the transition. Between that workload and my family life, I struggled to keep up TLiW.

For four years, I’d kept the blue flame burning while burning the midnight oil. The words written here were penned during lunch hours, stolen moments, and brain-melting early-morning sessions that often had me waking up to a darkened computer, both hands still on the keyboard.

Switching careers at 31—with a wife, three kids, two cats, a dog, a mortgage and two cars hanging in the balance—was not something I could afford to do halfway. TLiW is a labor of love, but owed my loved ones every ounce of my labor.

Old Mother Hubbard, Meet the Cubs, eulogies for the careers of Jeff Backus and Jason Hanson: these are all projects I sincerely meant to undertake and just… never… did.

This season, the Lions are at a crossroads of their own.

The 2013 iteration of the Detroit Lions made their preseason debut last night. Despite massive turnover on both the offensive and defensive lines, and shiny new toys on both sides of the ball, the 2013 model looked largely similar to the 2012 edition.

The Lions’ greatest flaw from last season—a total inability to cross the opponent’s 30-yard line in the first half—was there for all to see. The dominance of Stafford-to-Calvin, the not-dominance of just about every other Stafford-to-whomever combination, and the boom-or-bust running game looked spookily familiar (remember, Joique Bell hurdled fools last year).

The defensive line looked overwhelming, with Ziggy Ansah and Jason Jones combining with Suh and Fairley to form a front line shocking in its size, strength and athleticism. I mean, look at this:

2013_lions_preseason_1

The obvious size and strength of the line up front allows the Lions to be ridiculously aggressive with the back seven, as you can see. The much-maligned Wide 9 alignment maximizes this up-front advantage. At first, this made a hash of everything the Jets tried to do offensively. Then, the back seven fell apart, with multiple blown coverages making Sanchez look good.

The Ziggy thing? Yeah, that was awesome. Snagging a pick-six on his first series in Lions uniform? Awesome. Don’t make too much of it, though. As Jim Schwartz said at halftime, per the Detroit Free Press:

“We said from the beginning that he plays screens well, he plays draws well and all those kinds of things. We’ve seen that stuff on tape so wasn’t a surprise when he made that play.”

As I said all along (on Twitter, mostly), the Lions having coached Ansah at the Senior Bowl means the whole staff knew exactly what they were getting. Those speculating assumed Ansah would be raw and lack instincts because Ansah’s only been playing football for a few years. The reality is, Ansah’s grasp of the game is exactly that: instinctive. He’s still not the Pro Bowler they need him to be.

Don’t make too little of it, either. The strength, hands, athleticism and playmaking skills the Lions knew they were getting in Ansah were on full display against the Jets. That’s awesome. He definitely has the talent to be the Pro Bowler they need him to be.

There weren’t a ton of valuable takeaways from this game. Shaun Hill is still way too good to be a backup. The kickers and punters look good, and the special teams overall are improved. Riley Reiff is not going to put Stafford’s life in danger. Other than that drive, the Jets couldn’t do much against the defense—then again, the Jets have almost no offensive firepower.

There were still too many two-yard runs, incomplete passes, stalled drives and punts for a theoretically high-flying offense.

Throughout the offseason, I’ve fought the impression that this is going to be a tantalizing but unsatisfying “sim year,” one we’d simulate though if we were playing on Madden. There are too many young and inexperienced players in key roles, too many question marks yet unanswered, and too little proof that Matthew Stafford has enough rapport with anyone besides Calvin Johnson to take his game (or the Lions) to the next level.

Though this team has more than enough talent to make the playoffs, and my faith in the coaching staff is still strong, nothing I saw on Friday looks significantly better than in 2012—or 2011, for that matter.

This was the maddening thing (not the Madden-ing thing) about the 2012 season: the team looked so much like the 2011 squad, but the offensive touchdowns just evaporated. The margins were so thin and the outcomes so unlucky, it not only defied belief at the time but threw into doubt just how “real” the magical 2011 season was.

Even if the 2013 Lions perform at exactly the same level as 2012, they could still be a seven- or eight-win team, if they’re as lucky this year as they were unlucky last year.  If Reggie Bush can terrify defenses with more explosive plays like that hurdle, and Stafford takes advantage of the space, they could win the division. If not, they could struggle to reach .500.

Did I make a deal with the Devil himself to express myself for a living? No, but I did make a deal with you folks. I swore I'd never let the little the blue flame die out, and I won't this site go dark. I can't promise anything too regular or too specific, but I'll be writing throughout the season (and, Lord willing, Fireside Chatting again on game nights).

If TLiW's not already bookmarked or RSS feed'd, you can always keep track of new posts at my Twitter feed, and the VERIFIED (!!!) Lions in Winter G+ page.

If you're reading this (and surely, if you've read this far), you're part of the reason I was able to follow my dream and do what I love for a living. Even more than I was up all night writing for me, I was up all night writing for you.

It's the unique spirit of the Lions fan that compelled me to providing a warm, comfortable place for us frozen and weary souls. You came, in shocking and humbling humbling numbers, to join me by the fire. You encouraged me, supported me, let me know when I did well and let me know when I'd strayed from my Flamekeeping duties.

The Lions in Winter—its words, posts, community, comments, podcasts, UStreams, all of it as a whole—has changed my life. Thank you, all, for letting it be a small part of yours. I hope it still will be, for as long as the blue flame burns.

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Biding Time on Prime Time: Saturday Night Football

>> 12.22.2012

The left boot’s lace snapped as I tied it. The axe was rusty and dull. It took a few tries to open the shed’s padlock, and I forgot to zip my parka. The wind driving the year’s first snowfall whipped into my chest, chilling me to the core. I steeled myself against it and set to work.

I walked the path to the bonfire, sled laden not with wood but with guilt. Too long, I’d let my tasks go uncompleted. Too long I’d left my duty undone.

The Lions aren’t going to the playoffs. They aren’t winning more games than they lose, or even winning as many games as they lose. They’re having a terrible season, and all the close calls and almosts and maybes and robberies adding up to a measly four wins out of 14 games.

The problems have been the same all season: a misfiring Matthew Stafford, special teams disasters, and a defense that can’t quite make up for all the offense’s mistakes. Calvin Johnson is going to break the single-season receiving yardage record, but the Madden Curse robbed him of his touchdowns—and the Lions of every other useful receiver.

Tonight, the Lions will take Ford Field for the second-to-last time this season. They face the 12-2 Atlanta Falcons, with nothing but pride at stake. Lions fans will fill Ford Field again, expecting to witness an excruciating loss for the fifth time this season.

And yet, the Lions will play, and the fans will watch and cheer and roar.

Trudging through the woods, the cold red light in the west fading, I pulled the sled toward the bonfire spot, fearful of what I’d find. To my surprise, I could make out a wan blue light dancing off the tops of the trees. As I got closer, I could hear voices.

People. Fans.

The blue fire was nothing like the raging, towering inferno it had been. But it was bright and strong enough to keep the folks gathered there warm. There was no laughing, no singing, no loud carousing. The cider had long since run dry, the casks I’d last left weeks ago emptied and never replaced. But people were quietly resting, basking, keeping each other company.

Whether the Lions win or lose tonight, the blue flame is not threatened. Many, myself included, have had our faith tested this season, and the old bickering can be heard in murmurs around the edges of the fanbase. Many are questioning if the Lions are on the right path, but few have abandoned the flame completely.

Many have left the blue bonfire, but not for good. Not for long. Just for the winter.

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From the Windy City to the Mountaintop

>> 11.11.2011

Last night’s moon was full. High, wispy gray clouds glossed over it in a way that often happens in video games but rarely in reality. The air was crisp and clean; I could see my breath. This morning a perfect, razor-thin dusting of snow lays on grass, cars, decks and toys not put away the night before.

Winter is here.

Fittingly, today is November 11th; in the old Julian calendar this day was halfway between the autumnal equinox and winter solstice. In old European tradition, today is celebrated as St. Martin’s Day or Martinmas—the end of harvest and planting, and the beginning of the lean Winter months. As Fat Tuesday is a feast before a spiritual fast, St. Martin’s Day was a time to feast before there was nothing to eat but canned, pickled, and salted winter foods.

This morning I’m reminded of the harsh, cold winter months to come. A reminder that this glorious young 2011 football season, so full of promise and hope, is halfway over. A reminder that the Lions, who we’ve had the pleasure of seeing romp their way to a 6-2 start, have a grim task ahead of them.

Up until this point there’s been no downside; coming off eight wins in 48 tries the Lions could win as many games as they lost satisfy the expectations of many. Now the stakes are higher. The rewards are much greater but the risk is, too. Now the coaches, players, executives and fans are fully invested in this season’s run to the playoffs. If they fall, it will hurt.

In the NFL, you can take nothing for granted. Every year is a blank slate, and while that means a team like the Lions can rise up from nothing and conquer, it also means a rock-solid franchise like the Colts can crumble to dust without warning. As young and as talented as this team is, and as competent and intelligent its leaders, this iteration of the Lions may not ever start 6-2 again. They have begun something great, but they have only begun.

The last time the Lions climbed to this altitude, it was 2007. They started 6-2 and then, halfway to the mountaintop they slipped off the cliff face and fell down, down, down into the abyss of the deepest black crevasse. That they’ve climbed back up to 6-2 again is nothing short of incredible . . . but it’s not enough. This team is good enough to ascend much higher, and if they don’t it will be not only a terrible disappointment, but a wonderful opportunity permanently lost.

Back in the relative warmth of October, the Lions hosted the Bears on Monday Night Football. It was the greatest home-field advantage the Lions have had in my lifetime: a sold-out-beyond-capacity crowd gathered from near and far, hometown music and and video montages, and all the pomp and circumstance of the national prime-time stage. The blue fire of Lions fandom never burned brighter than on that night.

As you know, the crowd fueled and fed the Lions, forcing Chicago into nine false starts and helping push the Lions to a 24-13 victory. Jim Schwartz awarded Lions fans a game ball: permanent, tangible proof that we, the Lions fans, truly helped our team to victory. Being there, lending my support, will forever be one of my most treasured memories and proudest moments.

fan-game-ball

I suppose we should feel proud, then, that Jay Cutler took pains to note the Lions won’t have that support on Sunday:

"We're going to be outside, not in the dome," Cutler said. "We're going to be on grass. It will be a little bit of a different environment for them as well."

"They don't have that [Ford Field] advantage on their side this time. It's going to be on our side," Cutler said.

Cutler thinks that playing outside will work to their advantage; that the Lions have no teeth outside the supportive comfort of their Ford Field den. He thinks that the elements, cold and cruel, will turn the tables. That Old Man Winter will be at the Bears back when the Lions enter the Windy City, and the cruel, bitter home field advantage he supplies will be as powerful as the mighty heat and warmth of the blue bonfire at full roar.

Well, you know, except for this:

“Sleet and mess forced #Bears to move practice indoors to Walter Payton Center”

via @BradBiggs

Though Matt Forte is being bandied about as an MVP candidate, the truth is that the Bears will go as Jay Cutler and the passing game goes. On that warm October night, Forte rushed 22 times for 116 yards, plus caught four passes for 35 yards, and the Bears could only muster 13 lousy points. Cutler played at an almost superhuman level to avoid a relentless Lions pass rush and couldn’t quite net 250 passing yards, out of 38 attempts.

The Lions and Bears are two talented teams with streaky offenses and stingy defenses. The Lions got plenty of help on Monday Night, but they’re also undefeated on the road. After a decade-long bout of road futility unmatched in 80 years of NFL play, the Lions haven’t lost a road game in three hundred and fifty-five days. If they can get the job done Sunday, that streak will extend to at least December; they’ll have completed a full calendar year without a road loss.

As this December comes, as Winter falls on the land again, the Lions have climbed the easy half of the mountain. Now their test—and ours—begins in earnest. Now is when the Lions need the heat and warmth of the bonfire the most. Let’s keep their blood pumping, their faces flushed, their fingers and toes twitching at the speed of combat. Let’s support our team with everything they’ve got, as they set out from base camp for the glorious mountaintop.

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Three Cups Deep: Lions at Broncos

>> 10.31.2011

coffee

Espresso impresario David Schomer once offered this advice to Seattle-area espresso cart owners about the winter months:

During January and February, hunker down and dream of springtime. No one does great business during the after-Christmas slowdown, and it is particularly hard when you face your coldest weather at that same time. Do not close! The coffee business is built on daily customers who have a habit of stopping at your stand. If you close for a couple of months they will be gone.

The blue fire had been slowly waning over the last few weeks, from an unstoppable inferno to a relaxed, comfortable bonfire. Last week at this time, the fire shuddered alarminglyy, and I realized that the wood racks were almost bare. I set to work with the axe and sled, and many offered their hands and backs in the effort.

Today, all is well. The 45-10 defeat of the hapless Broncos set everything as back it was: the defensive line ate well all afternoon, hauling Tebow down seven times. Matthew Stafford completed 70.0% of his passes for 8.90 YpA, three touchdowns, and no picks. Calvin Johnson hit a home run, and came within several inches of tacking on a second score. The Lions defense outscored the Broncos all by themselves; even if the Lions offense had been completely shut out the Lions would still have Mile High Stadium At Whatever the Corporate Sponsor’s Name Is Geographic Location as winners.

Now, we have the bye week . . . a disruption in the rhythm that keeps us hooked into the Lions seven days a week in-season. Every day, we go to our favorite sites knowing what to expect: the recap, the rehash, the opinion, the analysis, the preview. Somewhere around Thursday it’ll hit us that there will be no Lions football this week.  We’ll break our habit. We’ll attend to the yardwork or that light switch or play catch in the yard or maybe even take a nap.

Meanwhile, the NFL will rage on. The Bears will host the Panthers, and unless Cam Newton does to Chicago what he couldn’t to Minnesota, the Bears will draw to within a game of the Lions. This will make the Lions return to action all-important. Pivotal. Season-defining. If the Lions can defeat the Bears, that’s a 2-game lead with all the tiebreakers; effectively a three-game lead with just six games to play.

The Lions would have the beautiful luxury of being able to go 3-4 through the meat grinder and still end up at 10-6—and likely, in the playoffs. The Lions could dispatch the Panthers and Vikings in Ford Field, and split at Oakland or at home against the Chargers, and still have a nearly guaranteed postseason berth. Were the Bears to lose to Carolina, the Lions could even suffer a Marinellian post-Chicago collapse and still be the second-best team in the NFC North.

In the past, the old bye-week joke has gone, “Well, at least the Lions can’t lose this week.” Instead, let’s be disappointed we can’t get our every-Monday cup of victory.

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The First Week of Autumn

>> 9.11.2011

The Winter has been long. At times, we have seen the sun peek through the clouds, only to quickly disappear behind a curtain of gray. At times, it has been so bleak we thought the sun would never shine again.

Whether there were many helping me tend the little blue flame, or few, whether the fire was crackling with energy, or barely more than an ember, there is no doubt this is the season we kept it for, toiled for, waited for.

Today, we Lions fans are gathered around the fire in numbers greater than we've seen in decades. The bonfire roars; huge blue flames race to the sky in a furious rush of sound and heat. The raging column of fire can be seen and heard for miles around.

Whether you've been here with me since the beginning, hauling wood and casks of cider, whether you've stayed away because you couldn't beat to believe and be let down again, or you're just walking up to the back of the crowd curious what all the fuss is about, welcome. Welcome.

Have a mug of piping hot cider. Take off you gloves, hat, and woolen coat. Listen to the cheers and songs, join in with the handshakes and high-fives. Take a seat and sip your cider--or stand and cheer the brave.

GOOOOOOOOOOO LIONS!

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The Lions Have Arrived; The Bonfire Roars

>> 8.01.2011

The blue bonfire of Detroit Lions fandom. Original image by Donnan Photo, altered and used with permission.

Original image by Donnan Photography; altered & used with permission.

Welcome.

Whether you've been here since the beginning, or just wandered up to the blue bonfire, welcome.

Today is the first day of the first year of the New Lions. Not the possibility, not the promise, not the potential. Reality. This is the year when the Detroit Lions will take the field knowing they should win—and more often than not, leave the field victorious. This is the season that the Lions stake their claim as a perennial playoff team. This is the year that their championship window opens. This is the year where everyone, everywhere, sees the massive, roaring column of blue fire exploding above the tree line, lashing out into the sky, and are compelled to come near, and watch in wonder.

It has been a long, slow wait. It has been a punishing chore splitting and hauling the wood. It has been a bone-chilling, skin-cracking cold, penetrating my parka on the edge of the wind’s knife. It has been more than three years I’ve tended the little blue flame—and together with many of you we have sheltered it, fueled it, and watched it grow. We have warmed our hands as it’s waxed, and gone back to work as it’s waned, all the while greeted the folks who’ve come to watch with a smile, a handshake and a mug of cider.

Yesterday, the Lions signed middle linebacker Stephen Tulloch, and re-signed cornerback Chris Houston. Together with Justin Durant, Eric Wright, and Erik Coleman, the Lions have added prime starters or quality backups for every position in the much-maligned back seven. Tulloch will center Levy and Durant behind the monster defensive line, and Wright will compete with Alphonso Smith, Nathan Vasher and Aaron Berry for the #2 corner spot. Add Coleman competing with Amari Spievey to be Louis Delmas’ backfield partner, and suddenly the Lions’ defense looks solid, even scary.

The offense is still the identity of this team, though, and with Matthew Stafford leading a truly exceptional corps of backs, receivers, and tight ends, the Lions will put up points in bunches. Based on their play last season, the talent they’ve added, and the return of Stafford, I expect the Lions to be amongst the top five scoring offenses in football. Pair that with the at-least-average-and-probably-better defense and, well . . . you have a playoff team.

Suddenly, the Lions are a hot ticket. The Lions opened as 30/1 longshots to with the NFC, but have been bet all the way down to 6/1. Peter King, when asked for his picks to make the Super Bowl, spoke the Lions’ name (as “a little bit of an upset.”). We haven’t seen this kind of attention and praise for our Leos in many years; it might seem bizarre, even disorienting. Some of you might be young enough to never remember the Lions entering the season as playoff contenders! Here’s a piece of advice to guide you through this strange and confusing time:

Enjoy it.

Crack a smile! Have a laugh. Take a big swig of hearty cider, and toast your favorite team with gusto. Break out your old Honolulu Blue gear, or buy some new stuff. Don it with pride, and say hey to everyone you see doing the same. If we ought to have learned anything over these past few seasons, it’s to treasure the good times—so why hedge our bets? Why hide this light we’ve kept burning for so long? What was all that work for, if not to enjoy it in times like these?

Yes, I know: you’ve been hurt before. You’ve believed before. But trust me on this one: you won’t want to spend this season with your nose in the air. You won’t want to spend this season mowing the lawn during games. You won’t want to “wait” for the Lions to “prove it” before you believe. Watching them prove it is what it’s all about! It’s what we’ve all waited for!

So. Today, be awed by the power of the blue flame. Marvel at the swell of support from across the nation. Read the reports of training camp practices (real practices!) like a kid who found their parents’ Christmas shopping list. Cherish every moment of this Lions season that you can, because it will be be one we’ll want to remember forever.

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The NFL Lockout Is Over. What’s Next For the Lions?

>> 7.25.2011

detroit_lions_celebration

In case you haven’t heard, the NFL Lockout is officially—really, truly, and finally—over. Don your silliest party hat, find one of those wheedly flicky-tongue things, pour yourself a pint of your favorite, and turn up “Celebration” by Kool and the Gang.  The NFL lockout is officially over, and football can finally begin . . . well, mostly. Per SI’s obtained copy of the settlement terms, here’s how the timeline breaks down:

  • As of midnight tonight (Tuesday AM), players may have full, regular contact with team staff, and use team facilities for voluntary workouts as normal. Teams will be able to trade players currently under contract.
  • As of Tuesday at 10:00 AM, teams may sign rookies both drafted and un-. They may begin negotiating with other teams’ free agents.
  • The Lions’ training camp will open on Thursday.
  • As of Thursday at 4:01 PM, teams may waive or release veterans currently under contract.
  • As of Friday at 6:01 PM, teams may renegotiate existing contracts, and sign new veteran contracts. Signed rookies will be able to partake in organized practice at this time, and receive injury protection.
  • As of Thursday, August 4th, the new League Year begins [presuming the CBA has been ratified by the players], and all teams must be under the cap.

This sets the stage for the wildest week of football talk in the history of the Internet. In the course of the next five days, the Lions will open their doors, sign all their draft picks, fight all the other clubs to sign ten or so UDFA, begin the chess match of free agent negotiation, start training camp, and THEN sign new veterans as current ones leave, clawing and scrapping with the other 31 teams to get 90 (!) guys on the roster by this time next week.

Meanwhile, the Lions will have to mind their salary cap Ps and Qs: the cap will be set at $120,375,000 with an extra $3M in veteran exceptions. Per Roar Report capologist DeadStroke, the Lions carried ~$127M in cap charges back in March. Much more recently, ESPN’s John Clayton reported that after expected departures, the Lions would have $16.6M of cap room—but the Detroit News’s Chris McCosky wrote last Wednesday that he couldn’t figure out how Clayton found anywhere near that much cap space.

This makes Nnamdi Asomugha a pipe dream—and even the Lions’ reported top target, Johnathan Joseph, a stretch. Besides the rumors of who’s negotiating with who that will hit the wire come Tuesday lunchtime, keep a close watch on Thursday for the release of Lions veterans. Cuts, and whispers of renegotiated contracts for players like Jeff Backus, will hint broadly at the Lions’ approach. Will they be major players for major contributors, or just dipping a finger in the frosting of a rich free agent cake?

For tonight, though, we celebrate! Come down to the blue bonfire, and make yourself at home. The casks of cider are full to bursting, and the blue flame has scarcely roared higher. We’ll toast the return of the team we love, the new players we’re about to welcome, and the glorious new season we’re surely about to go through together. This is our time; this is our year. Money couldn’t stop it, the lawyers couldn’t stop it, and the bickering couldn’t even slow it down. Celebrate with me, friends, together.

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Haunted By Hope: The Ghosts of Lions Past

>> 7.12.2011

So here’s the headline on Tom Kowalski’s latest mailbag:

Three reasons why the Detroit Lions have 'real' hope this year

Those quotes express life as a Lions fan. When has our hope been real? When have the Lions truly been building something worthwhile? When has it all been a fraud? What’s the tipping point between being sure success is right around the corner, and living in a fantasyland?

History sees only the scoreboard; many insist it’s the only real metric. In this respect Jim Schwartz’s Lions have yet to eclipse Rod Marinelli’s, or Steve Mariucci’s. In fact, of the eight non-interim Lions head coaches in my lifetime, only Marty Mornhinweg and Daryl Clark failed to notch at least one 6-win season. At this point, the 2011 Lions are no different than the 2008 Lions, or the 2005 Lions, or 1998, or 1996, or . . . All rode on waves of exceeded expectations from the year before, all were full of reasons to hope, and all took a unexpected step back—or an unimaginable plunge into the abyss.

It’s hard to forget these hopes, these expectations; it’s the unexpected flipside of my role as the Flamekeeper. My constant vigil and long perspective allows me to accept harsh disappointment, internalize it, and keep cheering. Yet, when I’ve been convinced the Lions were on a forkless Yellow Brick Road to success, and they’ve failed, it’s stuck with me. These collapsed Lions teams, these unmade dynasties-in-the-making, they haunt me like ghosts.

In the NFL, success and failure balance on the edge of a knife. I’ve pointed before at October 2, 2005 as the day Mariucci’s Lions were undone. When five years of kitting the Lions’ roster together by the 49ers’ pattern unravelled:

It was Harrington’s first signature comeback drive, an efficient 81-yard march ending with a well-placed 12-yard touchdown pass—that got taken away by review. Despite the play being ruled a touchdown on the field, and the ball being in Pollard’s hands while he was in bounds, the ref overturned the call, and the Lions’ season momentum evaporated.

Obviously, Joey Harrington was not then, never became, and likely never would have become a great NFL quarterback. But flip that one bit from “0” to “1”, and instead of the Thanksgiving Day loss to the Falcons sealing Mariucci’s fate, it’d have been the first time the Lions dipped below .500. Yes, that’s right: if that touchdown doesn’t get called back, the Lions carry a .500 or better record into Thanksgiving.

Instead, it all fell apart. With fans publicly, and teammates privately, incensed with Harrington’s subpar play, Mariucci didn’t support his quarterback. Instead, he made plain his frustration with Harrington, and propped up Jeff Garcia at every opportunity. Mariucci’s failure to groom Harrington into a winner—and by extension, failure to make Millen look good—cost Mooch his job.

In an alternate universe somewhere, the Mariucci Lions worked. Charles Rogers’ collarbone held together, Roy Williams remained a terrifying big-play threat, and Mike Williams developed into a stalwart possession receiver [Ed.—Heck, that happened in this universe]. Joey Harrington became the triggerman for an offense bristling with diverse weapons. Space was opened up in the front seven for Kevin Jones to work his magic. A solid scoring defense, and exceptional special teams units, rounded out a team you could rely to win about 59.1% of its games—just as Mariucci did in San Francisco.

I loved that team. The hometown coach, the star wideout I partied with in college, cerebral, misfit quarterback I always said I’d be were I born into a 6’-4”, 240-pound body with a rocket arm. I believed that team was on its way—just as I believe this team is, too. I had more doubts in 2008 and 2005 than I have in 2011, but I knew the Lions were on the path to success. For every nice thing an analyst has said about Jim Schwartz, I can someone citing Mariucci’s track record, or claiming they’d run through a brick wall for Marinelli after interviewing him. We can wax philosophical until we’re blue in the face, and we can cite Statistical Great Leaps Forward—but if the Lions go 5-11 this season, all of the optimism this offseason will seem just as ludicrous as me claiming Mariucci was a bad call away from taking the Lions to the promised land.

Look, I know the Lions are doing it right this time. I know Jim Schwartz was an excellent hire. I know the Lions are going to make the playoffs this year. But don’t forget, Joey Harrington once knew he could play in this league . . . I and knew he was right.

Joey Harrington on the cover of Sports Illustrated.

“The Young Guns of The NFL.” Drew Brees, Michael Vick, and Tom Brady, all getting second billing to Joey Ballgame—it makes us shake our head now, but it made our heads spin then. Was it madness to hope the Lions were building something great? Foolishness? To borrow a phrase, audacity? Or was it something real, something true, unjustly undone by the pernicious whims of fate and a razor-thin margin for error?

I can’t mull this over without considering the reverse: what if the Lions are successful this year, and it’s not for real? What if fortune and variance smile on the Lions, and they make a deep playoff run—followed by years of mediocrity? What if this is all the prelude to another Fontes era, where tantalizing tastes of glory are chased with bitter failure, year after year after year? How cruelly will that Lions team haunt us?

As we speak of madness and fantasy worlds, let me quote the great Albus Dumbledore who said “It is our choices that define us, Harry, far more than our abilities.” It’s our choice to make of the Lions what we will. The battle between Optimists and Pessimists has raged on Lions message boards since there’s been an Internet, and it rages still. Anyone can point to any number of reasons to hope, just as anyone can point to any number of reasons to believe it “when they see it.” I choose to hope, and so that hope is real.

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The Blue Fire Burns In Anticipation

>> 6.17.2011

I look east. Tendrils of gray smoke are wafting above the tree line; lazy wisps rise and melt into the muggy summer sky. I start off on the old familiar walk. A light breeze swirls around me, and my pace quickens. Normally, this walk is a slow trudge through deep snow, dragging a wood-laden sled step by booted step. Today, my shoes feel like they’re bouncing along the well-tamped grass and dirt path that leads to the firepit.

The blue bonfire is burning steadily these days. Nearly the full width of the big flame pit is ablaze, and the flames lick several feet into the air. Not far off, log racks slouch under the weight of cords’ worth of chopped, split wood. A row of oaken casks sit dumbly on the ground, as Mother Nature patiently knits together apple juice, yeast, and sugar. The grass has been trimmed, the seats and benches have been painted. All the work to prepare for the season is done. All that’s left to do is wait.

It’s true that the icewall separating the NFL players and owners is melting as we speak. Negotiations continue apace, and news has grown quiet as the principals finally, finally—FINALLY!—finally sit down to negotiate the details of what will be the new CBA. No lawyers, no spin, no grandstanding, no pettiness. Just heads-down effort on getting what must be done, done.

Given the chance, I’d ask the parties involved why this all couldn’t have happened back in February. Of course, I know the owners intended to take this into the regular season, thinking the players wouldn’t grant major concessions without the pressure of missed checks. Of course, the players intended to use the law to stop the owners from applying that pressure. This was a high stakes game of heads-up poker, where both sides knew what cards the other held, and both sides chose to play their hand out to the river anyway.

In the meantime, people have suffered: the fans, the coaches, assistants, trainers, team PR folks, team sales staffs, team administrative assistants, undrafted free agents, free agents to be—and, yes, beat writers and photographers and columnists and bloggers. We all simply wait for the negotiations that should have concluded before the prior CBA expired to conclude. Despite it all, we’ll be thrilled when the talk is over and the ink is dry.

In the meantime, don’t be afraid to stop by the fire. Even if we don’t have new Lions football to endlessly dissect and rehash, me and the rest of the folks here never lack for memories to share or tales to tell. The blue flame of Lions fandom will keep burning, even through the hottest summer and the longest drought.

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Lions Fans: Stepping Out Onto The Ice

>> 1.27.2011

The old hockey pond.This is a hockey pond. It’s part of a park across the street from my old neighborhood—which is also my current neighborhood. Oddly, I’ve never played on this pond. None of my few friends played. I didn’t have my own skates. Even though I liked hockey and watched hockey and wanted to play hockey, I never bothered to. In college, I ended up playing a little drop-in roller hockey—but I never played on ice, never even on this ice, which I passed every day on the bus for a decade.

As a grownup, whenever I’d see a hockey movie, or hear people talking about pond hockey, I’d feel a pang of regret. Once, I took a family trip to Alberta; as we flew over hundreds of family farms I was awed to see each boasting their own private hockey pond. When I read University of Michigan forward Luke Mofatt, who grew up in Arizona, say in regards to the Big Chill, “I didn’t exactly play a lot of pond hockey,” I cringed.

As a fiercely proud Michigan native, I feel like I abdicated my birthright. I feel like I took a pass on an important part of our cultural heritage. I mean, I like hockey, I grew up a half-mile from a purpose-built public hockey pond, and I never once bothered to walk over there and play! Just another thing that normal kids do that I didn’t, I guess.

I’ve been thinking a lot about the Lions being a “normal” football team lately. After reading this piece by Neil from Armchair Linebacker, a lot of thoughts that had been swishing around my head set, like concrete.

I've said there's safety in futility, that at the bottom there’s nowhere to go but up.  I’ve said loudly declaring that the Lions are no good serves as disappointment insurance:

They may be looking down and shuffling their feet, hoping nobody sees them. They may be watching from afar, shivering in the bitter chill, but more afraid of getting burned again than freezing to death. Or . . . they may be loud and obnoxious. They may be proclaiming doom. They may be standing in our midst, shouting that we’re wasting our time and our breath. They may loudly predict a blowout loss before each and every game. They may boo and hiss every mistake, and crow with knowing glee after every loss. They may seek to dishearten us, to discourage us, to disperse us. They may seek to extinguish the little blue flame we’ve worked so hard to protect.

What should we say to them? “Welcome.”

Their sarcasm, their derision? It’s their scar tissue. It’s their armor. It protects them from getting burned again. If they loudly proclaim inevitable doom of the Lions, then they can’t lose! Whether the Lions win, or they are proven right, there is no way a boo bird can be labelled a loser, since they never truly cast their lot with the team.

But . . . they’re here. They’re already coming. The hope and promise and preseason performance of this young Lions team has kindled the flame to the point where the naysayers are already coming back. Despite their protests to the contrary, they are Lions fans, too. They want to cheer, they want to be true blue. If they truly didn’t care, they wouldn’t be here at the fire, they’d just move on with their lives.

What I didn’t think about is the flipside of that: it’s the losing that’s made us special, that’s made us different. It’s the losing that branded us as outcasts, that caused us Lions fans to seek each other out. It was the losing, ultimately, that caused me to carve this space out of the Internet and pour my emotions into it.

Now that nearly all of the streaks have been snapped, and we’ll expect the Lions to win more games than they lose, will we lose what makes us special, as fans? Rooting for the Lions won’t be something only “a real diehard” does, it’ll be what everybody around here does. We’ve waited and waited for this time to come, for the Lions to be a real football team again—now that that day is here (or nearly so), what will we do?

For me, what will I do? What is my role in this strange new world, where the Lions are just another NFL contender? If I’m not keeping the flame from being extinguished by the harsh and bitter winds, if the little blue flame roars ‘round the clock whether I tend it or not, does anyone have any need for me?

I think the answer lies in my kids, and on that pond. After a decade of being the losers, of being the rest of the NFL’s social outcasts, of playing by ourselves in our basements instead of joining the fun, it’s time to get over ourselves. Let’s make the winter fun! It’s time to quit moping around about how lonely we are, strap ‘em on, and go play.

My boy playing hockey on the pond. Yes, it needed to be shoveled.

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Do You Feel A Draft? Winter’s Coming.

>> 12.30.2010

With the Lions in the midst of a three-game winning streak, and looking to make it four before a likely-to-be-sold-out home crowd, it’s easy to forget that this is it.  Sunday is the end of the regular season, and of course the Lions won’t be playing in the postseason.  This Sunday is the last Lions football we’ll have for months . . . maybe many months.

It has in fact been months since I wrote my epic post about the NFL, the NFLPA, and their CBA.  In the intervening time, there’s been very little (read: no) public progress.  At the time, I was frustrated at both sides’ focus on posturing, saber-rattling, and attempting to get fans “on their side”—a waste of time, since fans won’t ever be on either side.  Unfortunately, while the rhetoric got spicier, the negotiating seemed to go stale.  Fed up, I challenged George Atallah, NFLPA Assistant Executive Director of External Affairs, to explain why the players and league appeared to be at a standstill.  His reply, via the @NFLLockout Twitter feed:

A smart business person in my previous job told me the first rule of negotiations is that 2 sides want a deal.

The implication here is clear: the NFL isn’t budging, despite the NFLPA’s willingness to negotiate.  Indeed, the tenor of the NFLPA’s public statements and releases has changed over the last few weeks.  First, Atallah wrote an open letter to sports editors, explaining the division of NFL revenue in plain language and hard facts.  Then, during a media conference call, NFLPA executive committee members Brian Dawkins and Mike Vrabel explained that progress has been both promising and frustrating:

“I would think common sense would say at the end of the day, after all the fighting and after all the words are said, we understand who butters our bread. That’s where the urgency comes in at.”

I went to the NFL's CBA information site (NFLlabor.com, which is kind of a neat trick), and the only recent reference to the negotiations (that wasn’t a straight parody of an NFLPA release) is a link to a USA Today story that says it’s NFL who’s getting anxious about the NFLPA’s lack of commitment:

Last Sunday night, Goodell told reporters in Foxborough, Mass., that his "biggest frustration is the commitment and the energy that needs to be there. .. we (need) to get there as quickly as possible."

. . . A day later, in Minneapolis, Goodell told reporters, "I have said it publicly and I will say it again: If everyone gives a little, everyone will get a lot.. .. Any negotiation you have, not everyone is going to get what they want."

Ganis, who said he spoke with Goodell in Fort Worth, said the commissioner's "mood is not quite anxious yet, but clearly he wants to get to the negotiating table. .. get to the substance of it."

. . . of course, the last line in that article kind of puts the damper on all this supposed eagerness:

The Chicago-based businessman, who has done stadium-related work for the league in the past, said owners are "absolutely determined" not to repeat what they believe were mistakes that led to the last extension agreement.

“Absolutely determined” not repeat the mistakes that made the last agreement possible?  Someone must have left a window open, because I certainly feel winter’s chill setting in.  I know that doomsday talk and posturing is all part of process, but it seems like an agreement is still painfully far away.  Let’s enjoy the Lions this Sunday folks; it may be a long, long time before we see them again.


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Torches, Pitchforks, & a Painful Lesson

>> 11.16.2010

pitchfork-mobmillen_man_march

"Time for us to unite and force Ford to sell the team. Spread the word. I'm done standing by and watching and waiting."

--@derekgrube a.k.a @drgrube / @GroovyGrube / @KeepFrdFldEmpty

This is a very slow, painful, difficult lesson for fans to learn.  All the hours, all the days, all the years you’ve spent rooting for your team?  All the tickets, food, and drinks?  All the hats, shirts, and jerseys?  All the ups and downs and cheering and crying and yelling and sulking and swearing and shouting?  All the time, money, and emotion you have sunk into your favorite team?  It’s bought you exactly zero equity in the franchise.

You and I own absolutely nothing of the Detroit Lions Football Club.  It is a privately-owned—very privately owned—business, and it belongs to the owner.  Not you.  Not me.  The owner.  No matter what numbers Lions fans gather in, no matter what stupid “protests” we stage, the Lions are William Clay Ford’s and he will not sell them.  By all accounts, his son is as much of a Lions fan as we all are—so if you’re waiting for the team to pass first into Junior’s hands and then someone else’s, you’re out of luck.

Let me ask you this, “Make Ford Sell the Lions” people: and then what?

First, they’ll have to find an owner to sell it to—and if that owner’s last name is not Illitch or DeVos (or maybe Karmanos or Penske), be prepared for the team to leave town for good.  Presuming, though, there’s a Motor City-friendly ownership group ready to buy, then what?  They’ll have deeper pockets, or a freer hand in signing checks?  Ford is already tops in that department.  They’ll bring in a GM who’ll do more to fix the roster than Martin Mayhew has, faster?  No way; what GM could?  They’ll give total operational control—and a Brinks truck full of money—to a big-name out-of-work coach?  As I type this, the Redskins are proving that’s far from a surefire play.  They’ll rebuild the roster again, in some other leadership staff’s image?  Impossible, given the contracts involved.  If you think the owner is currently what’s wrong with the franchise, let me ask you: what would a different owner do differently, and how would that fix what went wrong on Sunday?  If you’re honest, you’ll say that you don’t know, and you don’t care—you just want heads to roll.

Look, I know you’re furious.  I know you’re crushed.  I know how bitterly it stings that after all this, the results are are still more theoretical than tangible.  But going postal because the Lions mailed it in against an 0-8 team and got stamped “insufficient postage?”  It’d be illogical, irrational, and—reality check—ineffective.  Shouting from the rooftops that you are “sick of losing,” even though you aren’t even playing in the games?  Save your breath.  Taking it to the streets to show the world that you are going to “DO something about it?”  Unless you have some run-blocking talents you can take to the field, you won’t be DOing any good.  Call me a coward, call me a traitor, call me a scab, call me part of the problem . . . but I’m sipping cider by the little blue fire with my friends, while you’re carpet-bombing the Internet trying to convince your fellow fans to turn their backs on the team.

Don’t worry though, man, it’s cool.  When your incandescent rage has dimmed, your torch has gone out, and your pitchfork is beginning to rust, you’ll see the big blue fire flicking just over the tree line.  You’ll watch the silver smoke rise high into the ash-gray sky, and realize your fingers are numb with cold, and your joints creak and ache.  Your lips will be chapped and cracked from the wind; involuntarily you’ll lick them and they’ll sting with pain.  You’ll almost hear the jokes and laughter, and you’ll swear the steam from the cider is already healing your parched and frozen throat.  Suddenly, you’ll realize that you’re walking towards us, and have been for a while.  By the time you get close enough to make eye contact with me, you’ll look down in shame—and realize you dropped your weapons somewhere in the woods.  No matter.  It’s then that I’ll take you by the hand, and show you I saved you a place by the fire.


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Lions vs. Jets: Operation Sellout

>> 11.02.2010

detroit_lions_vs_new_york_jets_tickets

As I’ve said before, I don’t get the chance to go to many games.  For starters, I live in Lansing, not Detroit; it’s a just-too-far-to-be-convenient 90-minute drive to the stadium.  For seconds, I lead the praise band at my church—making it to Detroit in time for a 1:00 p.m. game means I either have to take the day off, or duck out entirely.  For thirds, I have three young children—taking a family of five to a game means a bare minimum of $220 just to walk in the door.  Add gas money there and back, parking, food before, during, and after and . . . well, it takes more than a just an exhortive Tweet from Jim Schwartz to get me to Ford Field.

One of the best things about having small children, though, is that parents become grandparents.  On Sunday, I will be the beneficiary of some of the attendant spoiling; part of a three-generation Boys’ Day Out.  We’ll be watching the Lions play battle the Jets in living color—and we want you to join us.

The Lions are on the verge of something they haven’t been since Barry left: being nationally interesting.  With surprisingly strong showings against Philadelphia, New York, and DC in the books, plus this week’s New York game, a visit to Dallas, and a Thanksgiving Day game against Boston yet to come . . . the Lions are touring the nation’s biggest sports media cities, and showing them one by one we aren’t who you thought we were.

Check out this gem of a video preview from the New York Daily News immediately prior to the Giants game—and get ready to either seethe with red-hot anger, or bust a gut laughing at how foolish this guy now sounds.  I’m ready for talking heads like that to get words like that crammed down their throat.  I’m ready for the national media to be grabbed by the lapels and shaken awake, clued in to what’s happening in Detroit.  I’m ready for these Lions to announce their arrival on the NFL scene with a roar.  We want to roar with them—and we want you to join us.

Some of the same New York guys who pooh-poohed the Lions’ arrival into Your Company Name Here Stadium a few weeks ago will be flying into Detroit, while trying vainly to conceal their contempt.  All of the same national-media types who’ve expelled gallons of breath and ink on Donovan McNabb’s benching, while ignoring the defense that forced it, will have one eye on the monitor displaying this game.  Every NFL fan who can’t get enough of Rex Ryan, the Sanchize, and Revis Island will be tuning in to see the Jets take out their just-got-shut-out frustrations on the Lions.  I want the Lions to teach them all a lesson while we’re there to cheer them on—and we want you to join us.

I want Ford Field to be filled to the rafters with fans ready to roar.  I want to show the world exactly what kind of fans we are—and the Lions to show the world exactly what kind of team they are.  I want the blue bonfire to wax and surge and roar high and tall and bright; a great pillar of flame to be seen a thousand miles away.  I want the Lions to beat the Jets at their own game, pounding the quarterback into submission, feeding off the crowd, resonating with power and strength and energy that’s saturating the air they’re sharing with us.  We’re going to radiate every last watt we’ve got on Sunday, powering the players as much as we can—and we want you to join us.

As I said, I understand well the real-world limitations that face Lions fans.  I understand well how hard it can be to get everything in place to attend a game live.  But do me a favor—if you can attend a game, but were waiting for just the right game, or just the right time?  If you were waiting for them to prove to you they could win before you invested fiscally as you already do emotionally?  Don’t shy away from competition.  Don’t abandon the team when they need you the most.  Don’t sigh when your local Fox affiliate flips over to infomercials because the game’s blacked out again.  Make the call.   Hit the Web.  Smash the piggy bank.  Let’s show the world just how bright this fire roars.

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Announcing: Barry Week

>> 10.20.2010

The Lions in Winter celebrates Barry Sanders, with Barry Week

Recently Brian Phillips, of Slate.com and phenomenal soccer blog Run of Play, sensed a need to explore both the legend and reality of Pelé.  As Brian wrote:

I can’t shake the sense that we’re missing the boat on Pelé, that, like the Hot Fives and Sevens or The Godfather, he’s become invisible through repetition and influence. We’ve all known his name since the day the atom was split, and I wonder whether what we’re seeing when we watch him is dulled by what we already know and expect. I want to shake that off and make an effort to look at him with fresh eyes.

Thus began “Pelé Week,” an anthology of guest blog posts that explored many facets of the player, the man, the cultural phenomenon, the corporate pitchman, and the FIFA-approved International Face of Soccer that Pelé was and is.  The posts, and resultant discussions were fantastic, enlightening, revelatory—but even as I read them, I knew something similar had to be done for Barry Sanders. 

The problem with Barry is the opposite of the problem with Pelé.  Any man, woman, or child alive who has ever heard of any soccer player has heard of Pelé.  Anyone able to grasp both the concept of soccer and the concept of greatness will tell you that Pelé is the greatest soccer player of all time.  Meanwhile, Barry’s legend is as elusive as he was as a player; already he seems to be an afterthought in the discussion of great players.

His close association with the worst franchise in football has no doubt taken some of the shine off of his Hall of Fame bust.  The Lions’ lack of team success has always been used to marginalize Barry’s achievements; his “resume” will forever lack the baubles of his peers.  The national fans and media who didn’t really watch the Lions when they were mediocre with Barry, have put them completely out of mind during the past dark decade without.

Further, it’s something I’m feeling inside myself—my childhood memories of Barry are starting to do what childhood memories do: fade.  I increasingly find myself remembering my memories of Barry more than the player himself; I feel him slipping through the cracks of my mind, just as he slipped between defenders.  Further, there’s a whole new generation of Lions fans, high school and college students who never saw Barry play at all.  For them, for me, for every Lions fan—and football fan—alive, let’s remember, let’s celebrate, let’s share, let’s keep the fire burning in his honor.

Barry Week starts on Sunday.

Lions (and football) writers out there: I’ve already reached out to some of you for contributions, and have some in hand.  But if you’re reading this now, and would like to contribute something awesome, hit me up on email.


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An Autumnal Midnight

>> 9.09.2010

It is night.  Tufts of clouds languidly drift between me and the infinite void of space, occluding the stars and the moon by turns.  Weeks ago, nighttime brought no relief from summer heat—but tonight, fall’s chilly bluster has whisked away August’s humid fog.  The thermometer dips below fifty degrees, and the air crackles with the clarity and energy that only winter’s chill can bring.  It calls me outside.

All summer long, I have tended to the Honolulu Blue flame.  I have stoked it and fueled it, shielded it and treasured it.  I have chopped and split and loaded and hauled the timber for the pile.  I have brewed and casked and tapped and poured the spiced cider.  I have sent out the word, far and wide, in every way I know how, to true Lions fans across the globe.  I have watched, with satisfaction and glee, fans answer my call; those still possessing the spirit to live and die with their team—our team—have gathered here in kinship and in hope.

We’ve shared our stories, we’ve shared our pain.  We’ve passed around tales of glory and woe as freely as we’ve passed around mugs of cider.  We’ve taken off our hats and gloves, we’ve lowered our guard, and we’ve warmed our hands and hearts around the blue bonfire together.

We’ve watched training camp and preseason; we’ve seen dramatic progress made.  We’ve watched Matthew Stafford pick apart opposing defenses with efficiency and flair, and we’ve watched Jahvid Best slash through opposing defenses with fury and élan.  We’ve seen the speed and power of the new defensive line, one that even opposing fans are ready to name as one of the best in the business.  We’ve seen the Lions’ starters dominate opposing starters, and we’ve seen the Lions’ backups close out fourth-quarter wins. 

But as the blue fire wicks, waxes, and roars to the delight of us amassed fans, the light and heat bring about another sort: those who left.  Those who called it quits.  Those whose hearts were scarred once too often by the losing years, and have refused to let themselves be hurt again.  They gather to point, to laugh, to mock.  They gather to taunt, to sneer, to deride.  They stand at the edges of our happy crowd, and they grumble and snipe.  They want to sow discontent, to extinguish our burgeoning joy, to piss on the little blue flame.

Inhale.

Exhale.

The impossibly fresh, cold air rushes through my head into my lungs, filling my entire body with electrifying energy.  It courses up and down my spine, zings along my nervous system to my tingling  extremities, and radiates out of every goosebump-straightened hair.  On every level—intellectually, emotionally, instinctually, physically—I am energized by these autumnal winds.  Yet, there’s a dark edge to this chill, a foreboding tint to these clouds; they are heralds of the season to come: The Winter.

For all that the Lions’ new leadership has done to rebuild the roster, for all the youthful talent drafted, for all the steely veterans brought in, huddling close to the blue fire may well get you burned.  The clouds that now drift across the moon like gauze will be followed by heavy, gray, snow-laden blankets that block out the sky.  The playful breeze that refreshes and invigorates me now will soon whip and bite and sting.  It was easy to be optimistic when the Lions were only playing themselves.  It was easy to take heart when the Lions were winning games that didn’t count.  Now, though, our mettle will be tested.

On Sunday, the Lions take the field in earnest for the first time this season.  They begin their 2010 campaign on the road; they have won only eight times since Matt Millen took over the franchise.  They face a team with a quarterback and offensive system that will severely test the Lions’ greatest weakness.  When these two teams played in this same venue last season, the Lions lost 24-48.  It is the most winnable game the Lions will play until the middle of October.

If the Lions lose, the unhappy ones will howl and curse and scream.  They will point and laugh and tell us they told us so.  They will hibernate for another year.  Ford Field will be empty and quiet and sad, as it was for the Bills game.  The games will be blacked out, and I will haul my small children to distant bars so we can watch our team play football.  Our bright expectations will dim.  The happy summer bonfire party may once again be a sparse and grim refuge, the flickering flame barely sheltering the truest diehards from the blizzard’s gales.

If the Lions win?  They return to Ford Field with momentum and confidence.  Those of us who are here will rejoice and stay; many of those who had left will return.  The crowd for the Eagles game should be healthy and loud.  Perhaps, with a strong enough showing, the Lions will convince their entire fanbase, near and far, young and old, active and dormant, true blue or Johnny-come-lately, that they’re ready to play football with the big kids again.  The masses, the inconstant masses, will flock to the flame.

They may be looking down and shuffling their feet, hoping nobody sees them.  They may be watching from afar, shivering in the bitter chill, but more afraid of getting burned again than freezing to death.  Or . . . they may be loud and obnoxious.  They may be proclaiming doom.  They may be standing in our midst, shouting that we’re wasting our time and our breath.  They may loudly predict a blowout loss before each and every game.  They may boo and hiss every mistake, and crow with knowing glee after every loss.  They may seek to dishearten us, to discourage us, to disperse us.  They may seek to extinguish the little blue flame we’ve worked so hard to protect.

What should we say to them?  “Welcome.”

Their sarcasm, their derision?  It’s their scar tissue.  It’s their armor.  It protects them from getting burned again.  If they loudly proclaim inevitable doom of the Lions, then they can’t lose! Whether the Lions win, or they are proven right, there is no way a boo bird can be labelled a loser, since they never truly cast their lot with the team.

But . . . they’re here.  They’re already coming.  The hope and promise and preseason performance of this young Lions team has kindled the flame to the point where the naysayers are already coming back.   Despite their protests to the contrary, they are Lions fans, too.  They want to cheer, they want to be true blue.  If they truly didn’t care, they wouldn’t be here at the fire, they’d just move on with their lives.

So, as you hear these folks on the call-in shows, and meet them at the coffee pot, and see them on the street, be patient.  Be gracious.  Extend a hand, a hearty hello, a slap on the back, or a mug of hot cider.  Share your hope with them, your enthusiasm with them.  Give them the tinder to rekindle the blue flame of Lions fandom in their hearts.  Even if they react with scorn on the outside, know that inside they want to believe, they want to cheer, they want to hold their head up high and wear their Lions colors with pride.  They want to see the Lions win just as badly as you do—and Sunday, we might all get our wish.

It is colder, now, and silent.  The wind is dying down.  The thrilling tingle of a fresh fall breeze is giving way to a shivering chill.  Once again, before the weekend, I pull a hot draught of cider and rub my hands together by the big blue bonfire.  Friends, come and join me.



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Three Cups Deep: Preseason Week 3

>> 8.30.2010

This post started with a momentus gameday Tweet from @jschwartzlions:

"If you are going, STAND UP and cheer. If you hadn’t planned on going, get yourself some tix. We NEED you, Lions nation. Be loud, be proud."

When I read that, I kind of got chills.  I think it’s every fan’s delusion, every fan’s special comfort, to believe that somehow, some way, if they only cheer hard enough, they can will their team to victory.  If they wear their lucky jersey, if they watch it on TV, if they don’t watch it on TV, if they go to the stadium in face paint and cheer their guts out, somehow they can help their team win.  Here was the Lions’ head coach, in a message addressed to Lions fans everywhere, telling us to STAND UP and cheer.  To be loud, and be proud.  Incredibly, he said that the Lions need their fans behind them.

This concept has intrigued me since I chatted up Seahawks blogs and forums last year, and discovered that ‘Hawks fans really take their “12th Man” idea seriously.  They really do believe that the noise they generate has a tangible on-field effect for their team.  Yes, pure decibel levels of crowd noise can make it hard for opposing offenses to get their cadences out, but it’s more than that to them; they really believe that their cheering transfers spirit, mojo, power to their Seahawk players. 

Back in the 90s, the Lions had a fairly predictable dynamic: generally win at home, and generally lose on the road.  Some years it would be tipped towards “win,” and others towards “lose", but even in the leaner years, what wins there were seemed to always come at home.  At least part of that, I’d like to think, came from the Lions’ home-field advantage at the Silverdome: a weird inflatable surface, resting underneath a cavernous dome, and yes—a large, raucous crowd that let both benches have it with impunity.

Ford Field, in my experience, is a beautiful shell, but often it’s lifeless.  Sterile.  Empty.  The building itself has plenty of character, but it all seems hollow when the crowds don’t come—or worse, when the crowds come but sit silent, waiting for the inevitable release of failure. 

I’ve said before that there’s a certain safety in futility; to give in, to cash out, and be cynical . . . it’s easy.  It hurts, it sucks, but it’s also easy.  If you’re a constant naysayer, you don’t bear any risk!  If you’re right, you were right not to invest yourself, and if you’re wrong, then WHOO-HOO!  But to allow yourself to hope again?  That’s climbing onto a tightrope walker’s plaftorm.  To allow yourself to feel again, to cheer again, to drape yourself in the Honolulu Blue and brand yourself with the Leaping Lion?  That’s putting one foot out on that rope.  To come to the games expecting victory instead of defeat?  To stand up and exult when your team takes the field?  That’s taking the second foot off the platform, and walking little more than faith.

I don’t think the half-full stadium made Jahvid Best run like that.  Matthew Stafford has been as remarkable on the road as he was at home.  Clearly, the defense wasn’t bolstered by whatever Lions fans brought to the table on Saturday.  I don’t know if we fans really can affect what happens on the field, either directly or indirectly.  But our coach says they need us.  Our coach is directly appealing to us, the fans, to come and help them win.

I know that with all the misplaced faith, and all the wasted emotion, and all the unwearable jerseys hanging in our closets, that’s a big ask.  It’s like Jerry Maguire telling Rod Tidwell, “Help me . . . help you.”

Jim Schwartz isn’t hanging by a thread; his job is more than secure.  But this season starts with a gauntlet of divisional road games and vicious home games, and if the Lions start 2010 going 1-5, they might as well pack it in and wait for 2011.  This young Lions team needs confidence, swagger, momentum, and for that they’ll need all the light and heat the blue bonfire can provide.  I have to say . . . I dig that about them.



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The NFL, The NFLPA, Their CBA, and Their Fans

>> 8.26.2010

Since before I can remember, I’ve lived and died with the boys in Honolulu Blue.  I’ve adorned myself with their colors, idolized the players, and directed electronic facsimiles of them to electronic facsimiles of Super Bowl championships.  As a kid, I’d wake up at dawn on Sunday mornings to catch all of the gameday coverage, and I’d fall asleep in my bean bag chair trying to stay up until the end of Monday Night Football.  I’d vigorously champion Barry Sanders case as the greatest running back in football, starting the moment he was drafted and never stopping.  I thrilled with the Lions’ rare successes, and I kept a stiff upper lip through the many failures.

In many ways, when I watch the Lions, I watch as that four-to-fourteen year old self: with unabashed, unreserved, unbridled adoration.  Without great understanding of the game, without any care for the business side of things, wanting nothing but a Lions victory.  It’s that youthful, innocent passion that drives me to keep cheering, keep connecting with other fans, keep their spirits up, and yes—keep the blue fire burning.

There’s another part of me that watches the Lions, though, another set of eyes I look through: the eyes of a man approaching thirty.  The eyes of a man with a wife, three children, a mortgage, and a minivan.  The eyes of a man whose flaming passion for social justice became an ashen pile of expiring college credits.  Yes, I see the Lions, and professional football, through the eyes of a man who votes, drinks beer, has bosses, and pays taxes.  I remember a time before the NFL salary cap, before NFL free agency.  I saw how talent, motivation, and organization in the front office became just as crucial to on-field success as talent, motivation, and organization on the sideline.

I recall the 1991 playoffs, when the Lions earned their lone postseason win of the last fifty years.  They beat the Dallas Cowboys 38-6, and in the aftermath one analyst (can’t remember who) said, “these two teams had the young talent to rule the NFC for the next decade.”  That was true, but there was a significant difference: the Cowboys had a supremely motivated owner, and an ahead-of-his-time coach/franchise architect in charge.  They’d spend the rest of the nineties stockpiling both in-house and free agent talent, circumventing the cap whenever necessary, and beating everyone else’s brains in.

Meanwhile, the Lions had an owner, as Brian VanOchten once said, more concerned with hosting cocktail parties than winning—and a COO/capologist whose inability to keep top veterans around wasted that nucleus of talent.  The annual exodus of veteran starters kept the Lions in stuck in almost-there mode, and ultimately inspired Barry Sanders to retire in frustration.  So yes, mortgage-and-minivan me understands well that this is a business, and money talks just as loudly on the field as off.

I watch football with both sets of eyes—as I do the rapidly developing labor situation.  The NFL and NFLPA are deadlocked in a media arms race, aiming to conquer public heart- and mind-share.  Both are trying to rally us, the football-addicted public, to their side.  We’re  hearing stories of crippled and destitute retirees, and cautionary tales of players counting their millions from inside prison walls.  We’re being buried under layer upon layer of spin intended to “frame the debate” in a way that reminds me, sickeningly, of election-cycle TV ads and their virulent soundbite lies.

It’s all wasted effort.  The public, as a whole, will never accept either side as the villain, or either side as the hero.  It’s painfully obvious to even the most casual fan that player salaries—and, especially, rookie salaries—are escalating at enormous rates.  It’s further obvious that with skyrocketing franchise values, jawdropping TV contracts, and unprecedented attendance figures, both sides have raked in unprecedented stacks of chips over the past decade . . . but, Detroit Lions Pajamas Ty doesn’t give one whit about what happens once the chips are raked.  The millionaires and billionaires can divvy up the pot however they want; just give me my football!

Of course, I-just-had-to-vote-to-raise-my-taxes-so-cops-can-afford-to-patrol-the-town me is inclined to look a little bit deeper . . .

The seeds for the current situation were sown in 2006.  With the old CBA, 2006 , there was to be an uncapped 2007, and then the CBA would expire—much as this season is uncapped, and this CBA is set to expire after the 2011 draft.  After several last-second deadline extensions, coming about as close as possible to triggering the Last Capped Year without actually doing so, the NFL and NFLPA agreed on a CBA extension.  Guaranteeing labor peace deep into the next decade, this negotiation and agreement was the ultimate achievement for both then-NFL Commissioner Paul Tagliabue, and the late NFLPA executive director, Gene Upshaw.

But, just two years after the 2006 agreement, NFL owners voted unanimously to opt out of the current CBA.  Why?  In a letter to Upshaw, new NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell cited three reasons:

  • High labor costs
  • Problems with the rookie pool
  • Inability of teams to recoup bonus money paid to athletes who breach their contract or fail to perform

Until the 2006 extension, the salary cap and salary floor were based on a percentage of shared revenue: TV contracts, ticket sales, etc.  Every NFL team had to spend at least X (the salary floor) and Y (the salary cap) percentages of the same 1/32nd slice of the NFL’s shared-revenue pie.  However, the NFLPA wanted the salary cap to be based on what’s now called total football revenue.

Every team has ways of making money beyond the shared revenue: stadium naming rights, concession vendor arrangements, parking, etc.  Players were getting frustrated that significant monies were going directly from our pockets into the owners’.  So, rather than fight for a bigger slice of the same old shared-revenue pie, players negotiated a smaller slice of a bigger pie: 59.6% of “total” revenue instead of (in 2006) 64.5% of shared revenue.  That smaller slice, bigger pie approach upped the total cash available to for player salaries by eight percent—great news for the players.

Problem: the shared-revenue pie is contributed to equally.  Leaguewide TV deals are split 32 ways, leaguewide apparel sales are split 32 ways, each game the home and away teams split ticket revenue 60/40, etc.  But the total-revenue pie is not distributed equallyeach team’s locally-generated revenue varies wildly.  This is why there was such a big push for luxury-box-laden stadiums in the mid-90s; teams don’t share luxury-box revenue.  The Cowboys’ new stadium, nicknamed “Jerryworld,” is more like a Dallas Cowboy theme park than a stadium: you could have a great time (and spend a lot of money) at it for a few hours without seeing a minute of the game.  Another big-revenue team is the Redskins; they get $7.6M in free money every year just because their stadium is named “FedEx Field.”  Somehow, I don’t think Curly Lambeau’s estate can match that largesse.

Besides the varied revenue, each team’s costs vary wildly.  The Bengals play in a stadium bought and paid for by the people of Hamilton County, and pay relatively little rent to do so.  But Jerry Jones had to take out multiple nine-figure loans to birth his cash cow—and its feed bills (debt service) are huge.  You can see where this is going: with the salary cap—and floor—derived from all the income generated by all the teams, penny-pinchers like the Bengals, Bills, Jaguars, and Vikings had to keep up with the Joneses.

The owners tried to ameliorate this by implementing a “supplemental revenue sharing” system that works kind of like a luxury tax; the top earners kick some into a fund earmarked for the less aggressive.  All the owners were almost immediately dissatisfied with this solution.  The high roller teams wanted the penny-ante teams to “earn” their supplemental cut by working harder to generate local revenue, but the small-market teams cited inherent market disparities; they couldn’t generate local revenue like the big boys!  Just two years after the 2006 agreement, owners opted out of the CBA, making 2009 the Last Uncapped Year, 2010 completely uncapped, and 2011 a year without football.  Here is where we enter the Spin Zone.

Clearly, the owners see the ‘06-‘09 arrangement as untenable. Prior to 2006, NFL franchisees were guaranteed a healthy profit, whether  they chose to run their businesses like Ebenezer Scrooge, or Howard Hughes.  Now, though, crazy year-over-year increases in rookie salaries, and the inclusion of unequally earned revenues in the salary cap—and floor—created a bubble in individual player salaries, eating into the profits of the Scroogier teams.

Of course, we should not cry for the billionaires that own these teams, and their not-as-great-as-they-used-to-be profit-margins.  But, the pre-2006 model essentially guaranteed profitability, which in turn made it easy for small market, non-competitive, or less-aggressively-run teams to stay put and make money.  Even with no full-time GM, a skeletal scouting staff, and a longtime coach who’s avoided the reaper partially because the owner won’t pay his buyout, the Bengals were not only competitive in 2009, they won their division!  But if individual salaries keep growing at their current rates, the Bengals will have to either spend more, or be less competitive.

My inclination is to support a return to the old model, where the salary cap and floor are derived from “designated gross revenue,” i.e. shared revenue.  Let player costs be a fixed portion of the shared revenue, let the zillionaire-tycoon types seek their own fortune, and let family-owned teams in smaller cities turn a decent profit with a competitive product.  However, the players won’t want to give up their hard-won slice of bigger pie.  In fact, they think the pie isn’t big enough.  Check out the NFLPA’s “Where Dat Billion At?” fact sheet:

Q: In real dollars, as opposed to salary cap calculations, what percent of all revenues do players receive?

A: 51% in 2008. Since 2001, players have never received more than 53% or less than 50%.

Q: So why does the league say that the players get 60%?

A: Once again, that is the maximum salary cap calculated AFTER deducting $1Billion in real dollars in 2008 that the league and teams received.

Q: Where Dat $1Billion?

A: Where do you think?

The clear implication here is that every year, the owners pile that sneakily-hoarded billion dollars into a McDuckian money bin and have a good swim.ScroogeMcDuck

The owners, of course, have a perfectly rational explanation: the billion dollars is for expenses.  Building stadiums, marketing, paying for coaching staffs, executives, scouts, administrators, sales, etc..  Eight billion dollars in revenue is not eight billion dollars in their pocket; the players don’t necessarily deserve a share of money that’s definitely going right back out the door.  In this fact sheet, we see the NFLPA “framing the issue”: this expense deduction was collectively bargained, not some sort of mysterious embezzlement!  The owners aren’t just “arguing” that that money shouldn’t count; the union explicitly agreed to that $1B expense deduction as part of the CBA.

Of course, if Dat Billion covers the major expenses, why are the owners insisting the players can’t have any more than a sixty percent of what’s left?  We know the revenues coming in the door—but what are the owners’ expenses, and how big are these dwindling profits?  That’s exactly what the players would like to know.  They’ve been repeatedly asking the NFL to open their books, and show the world not just their revenues, but their expenditures and profit.

Those of us who are hockey fans remember a similar demand from the NHLPA during their ‘04/’05 lockout—terrifying, because that demand, and the owner’s refusal to capitulate, was a major sticking point in the 310-day disaster.  Ultimately, the NHL contracted former SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission, not South Eastern Conference) chairman Arthur Leavitt to conduct an independent financial review of the NHL’s 30 teams.  The conclusion was grim, indeed:

"The results are as catastrophic as I've seen in any enterprise of this size," Levitt said. "They are on a treadmill to obscurity, that's the way the league is going. So, something's got to change . . . I would not underwrite as a banker any of these ventures, nor would I invest a dollar of my own personal money in what appears, to me, a business that's heading south," Levitt said."

Of course, the players didn’t buy this whole independent-analysis thing.  In fact, the demand for open books was at least partially disingenuous; I remember several players saying that even if the books were “opened,” the owners would just funnel cash into their other businesses to make it look bad.  To me, though, the vanishing revenue streams were obvious: terrible ratings, loss of media coverage and national mindshare . . . the NHL simply wasn’t pulling eyeballs, and player salaries were growing unabated.  Even if the majority of teams had their heads above water, it was obvious that the NHL needed to structure itself in a way that guaranteed that growing costs wouldn’t overwhelm shrinking revenues.

NFL teams have a slightly tougher sell when they plead poverty.  Cash has been pouring into the Money Bin at an accelerating rate, with income rocketing towards the NFL’s staggering goal of $25 billion in annual revenue by 2027.  Owners will be quick to tell you that it takes money to make money; business ventures like the NFL Network have required a ton of investment (risk!) to see a return—but dang.  The ratings are insane, attendance has held steady at “outstanding,” and every year sees the NFL garner more and more mindshare.  Hence, players’ demands that the owners open their books and prove the financial picture is somehow getting dimmer.  31 of 32 teams steadfastly refuse—but one, as a publicly traded company, is legally obligated: the Green Bay Packers.

The Packers released their financial report for FY2010 (which ended March 31st), with a predictable headline: “We Are Still A Profitable Non-Profit Organization, But No Longer Wildly So [not really the headline]”. 

“The organization is in good shape financially, and we remain fully able to support our football operations and provide all the resources needed to field a championship-caliber team,” Packers President/CEO Mark Murphy said. “But over the last few years we’ve been concerned with the escalation of player costs relative to overall revenue and reduced incentives to ownership to grow the game. That’s what we’re looking to address in the CBA negotiations, because if the current trend continues, it’s not good for the Packers or for the NFL.”

Here’s where we get to the meat of the matter.  The NFLPA correctly notes that the salary cap and floor, are/were derived as a percentage of revenue, ergo it is impossible for player salaries to grow faster than revenues.  This certainly makes sense—and yet, here’s the Packers’ official website, pinning their loss of profit directly on increases in salaries:

But it’s the 51 percent decrease in operating profit, from $20.1 million to $9.8 million, that’s most notable, particularly when the team on the field went from 6-10 in 2008 to 11-5 and in the playoffs in 2010. This past year’s $22.1 million increase in player costs was substantial, in part due to significant long-term contracts given to veteran players Ryan Pickett, Nick Collins and Chad Clifton. But the Packers’ negotiating position with regard to those contracts was aided somewhat by the new free-agency rules in the final year of the current CBA, which kept players with four and five years of experience as restricted rather than unrestricted free agents.

The Packers, a small market team that—despite being a non-profit organization—has been quite profitable, is seeing a chunk of those  profits eaten up by the increases in individual player salaries.  It’s not that total, or average, or aggregate salaries are somehow rising faster than revenue—as the NFLPA points out, that’s impossible.  It’s that the market rates for top rookies and veteran free agents are exploding, and teams that have previously minded their Ps and Qs are finding themselves forced by the market to pony up big-time guaranteed money.

That the Packers' official release on this matter exquisitely reinforces the NFL's talking points is a little unsettling—and of course, just like in the NHL case, even with a partial examination of the books, there’ll be suspicion that the owners aren’t telling the whole truth.  Nevertheless, the numbers that have been released do back up the owner’s claims.

The notion that market rates for top rookies and veterans have been exploding is undeniable.  Ndamukong Suh’s contract is worth at least $60 million over five years, with $40 million in  guarantees—and that guaranteed figure is a 21% increase over 2009’s #2 overall pick.  According to Forbes.com, the contracts of the top three picks of the 2010 draft are all amongst the ten richest guarantee-laden deals in the NFL.  Obviously, when rookies are getting vastly more guaranteed money than the overwhelming majority of proven veterans, something is wrong.

The dispute between the owners and players on this isn’t about whether the top salaries need to be capped, but what happens to all those millions of dollars.  The NFLPA proposed a rookie cap that would siphon about $200 million away from the top rookies, and guarantee that it be spent on veterans instead. Further, their proposal would cap the length of rookie contracts at three years.  The NFL, in their counterproposal, would rather take that money and use it as a nest egg for retired players’ health care—simultaneously reducing current-player costs, while avoiding spending “new” monies for old players.  This is a matter of negotiation, and there are many bargaining chips to work with: amount of rookie money to be redistributed, length of rookie contracts (under the NFLPA’s proposal, Matthew Stafford would have been due for UFA after next season!), where the money for retirees comes from. . . that will all get hammered out.

So if the rookie pool is just a matter of "hammering it out," what about the NFL's other point, the recoverability of guaranteed/bonus money to players who flagrantly breach their contracts?  Paying a hardworking superstar like Andre Johnson an astronomical salary is one thing; he earned his rookie deal, outperformed his second deal, and will likely be worth nearly whatever Houston can afford to pay him.  But what about the player who went one spot before him in the draft, Charles Rogers?  He received an even fatter rookie deal, and earned about four game checks’ worth of it.  The Lions needed five years in court to win back Charles Rogers’ money, and to this day, seven years after he signed, I don’t believe they’ve seen a dime.

I think the NFLPA recognizes this--and again, I'm sure they'd rather the Lions have given that nine million to a proven veteran on the team at the time, like . . . um, well, you take my point.  The NFL and NFLPA have already agreed to improved standards for on-field disclipline—in terms of fine schedules, appeals processes, etc.—so I’m optimistic that a reasonable set of rules, or standard contract language, can be developed to protect teams against the most egregious of “busts.”

What is much less likely to get hammered out anytime soon is this whole “pie” thing.  Remember Dat Billion, the “expense credit” that the owners take off the top before the money’s even divvied up?  Well, the NFL wants it to be more like Dat Two Point Three Billion.  In their proposal, the expense credit will swell to 18% of the full gross revenue.  In a doozy of a letter to current NFLPA members by former New York Jet Pete Kendall, the NFL’s proposal is thoroughly broken down from the players’ perspective.  His conclusion:

You would have to turn back the clock to the early 1980’s, in the days before free agency, to find a season in which the players’ share of football revenue was as low as that being proposed by the NFL owners for 2010 and beyond. Thus, the only way to describe this proposal is that it is a dramatic reduction in player compensation, which is not justified given the NFL’s unprecedented growth and their failure to provide meaningful financial data relating to their expenses.

Despite the owners’ failure to provide the financial data to support their assertion that expenses have escalated faster than revenues, the Players remain willing to create incentives for NFL owners to develop new revenue streams for their clubs. Our current proposal would specifically allow NFL clubs to obtain substantially increased deductions for costs incurred to generate new revenue streams. We have also proposed additional credits for stadium construction and/or renovation. But we should not and will not agree to pay for items such as expenses to operate practice facilities or for travel costs as the owners have included in this 18% proposal.

The NFL’s entire response to Pete Kendall’s extremely well-informed, well-written, letter is as follows:

“The NFL owners are looking for a fair system that allows continued investment to grow the game. NFL player compensation has almost doubled in the last decade because of investments made by the clubs. If we continue to invest and grow, current players will have higher compensation, former players will have higher benefits, and fans will enjoy a better game. Expenses for NFL franchises have risen faster than revenue in the current agreement and the economics must be adjusted. But, as we have repeatedly emphasized, constructive and creative negotiations can lead to a balanced agreement that will not reduce current player salaries.”

Now we need to step back to 2006.  The NFL was racing against time to get a deal done with the NFLPA before the Last Capped Year—because the threat of totally uncapped salaries, and the destruction of financial parity, was just hours away, several times.  The late NFLPA executive director Gene Upshaw repeatedly said that if the cap ever went away, it would never come back.  With their backs to the wall, the owners knew they couldn’t let that happen.   The union leveraged its . . . uh, leverage, and the owners did what they felt they had to do.

After the initial round of celebration for Commissioner Tagliabue’s great achievement, everybody read the fine print.  According to ProFootballTalk, the league’s reaction to the new CBA was swift and decisive:

We've heard from several front-office types around the league who believe that the NFL Players Association "kicked our ass" in conjunction with the new CBA.

"The union ate the league's lunch -- big time," said one league source.

"The owners were so focused on their pockets and infighting, they never talked about the CBA," added the source.  The thinking is that Commissioner Paul Tagliabue just wanted to get the CBA done, so that he could ride into the sunset as a hero.

So clearly, the owners don’t just want to make sure that the money they’re sinking into expanding revenue via the NFLN, NFL.com, and overseas ventures doesn’t count toward the cap.  They’re in it to make sure they get back some of what they gave away the last time around.  In fact, Commissioner Goodell implicitly said so at the NFL’s annual meeting back in April:

“We knew when we entered this CBA that the pendulum would swing the way of the players. We just didn’t know how much how fast.”

It's not just about adjusting the current cost/revenue structure to reflect the realities of the market; the NFL is actively trying to “swing the pendulum” back their way, by dramatically shrinking the expanded-revenue pie, and making the player’s slice smaller as well.  The NFL notes that by going to an 18-game schedule, and by reinvesting Dat Two Point Three Billion in their revenue-expanding programs, the total revenue will grow to the point where the amount of actual dollars going to the players won’t shrink. This is where the NFL's referenced "creative negotiations" come in.

How can the owners pretend to be fair in this, when they’re coming in to negotiations looking to both shrink the pie, and the players’ slice of it—relying on projected future growth to offset the give-back?  Well, If you don't believe that the players really did come out way ahead in the 2006 deal, just reference the NFLPA’s “First and Ten Questions NFL Players Want Answered:”

6. Why did the NFL and NFL team owners embrace an uncapped year and not preserve a salary cap system that gives every team a chance to win on any given Sunday?

Wow.  Two years ago, the NFLPA was resolute: if the salary cap that had been holding them back ever went away, it would never return.  Now, they’re challenging the league to explain its opting out of the salary cap, when the cap was so obviously awesome for everyone!  What could have caused so radical a change?

For starters, the uncapped year was hardly the cash bonanza players assumed it’d be.  All throughout the 90s, teams bumped hard up against the cap—and then creatively worked around it and spent over the cap.  By the time the mid-aughts had rolled around, the concept of “cash over cap” was a common occurrence; if you weren’t spending all your available money, and then some, you were putting yourself at a disadvantage!  I remember Eagles fans constantly freaking out that their big-market team always kept under the cap, for no discernable reason.  Here’s one page of Philly sports blog Philly2Hoboken’s 2005 archives where they do just that, several times (text search “under the cap”).

But, without a cap floor, teams can spend as little as they want, save for veteran-minimum rules.  Moreover, the incentive to spend up to the cap has disappeared; NFL teams are no longer spending just because they have the space to do it.  They’re looking at their budgets, looking at their profits, looking at the market, and if the player isn’t worth the asking price, they’re not spending.  It’s like boiling water with the lid closed: the water is noisily bubbling and rolling, the lid is rattling, steam is shooting out the cracks—but when you take the lid off, instead of water exploding all over the kitchen, everything equalizes, and the raging tempest becomes a gentle simmer.

Okay, so.  The NFL wants to get back what it gave away in 2006, when it allowed unshared revenue to count towards the players’ total share of income.  They don’t want the greater expenses they’ve sunk into growing the league as a whole to still count as part of the players’ share.  The owners want to be able to spend money to make money—but they also want to be able to be competitive on a shoestring budget. 

The players want to keep what they negotiated for in 2006, when they stopped the owners from generating sizeable streams of income that they’d never get to see.  They want to be able to share in the rewards of massively profitable enterprises like NFLN and NFL.com, even if that means sharing in the financial risk of launching and maintaining such enterprises.

What can be done?  There’s no bad guy here, and no good guy either.  The NFL gave up a lot in the last round, and they want the NFLPA to return the favor this time.  Both sides are making boatloads of cash, and both sides are highly motivated to hunker down for the long haul, regardless of the feelings of the people they’re all getting rich off of.  Well, they say never to criticize without better ideas—so here are my ideas:

Some Sensible Suggested Solutions

Rookie cap.  Yes.  Rookie salaries are flatly out of control.  The money saved should go to veterans, not just go in owners’ pockets—but at least a portion going towards a retired players nest egg makes too much sense.  Three-year contracts, and unrestricted free agency, for players who might not be any good for three years, would make no sense.  Rather than place a hard cap on the number of years, I’d prefer they re-work the way salaries count against the cap--so it’s not always a big bonus check in front of massively backloaded base salary on a six- or seven-year deal that neither side intends to honor (see: Johnson, Andre and Revis, Darrelle).  Regardless of contract length, though, rookies shouldn’t be eligible for UFA until they have four years of service.

Shorter, but more guaranteed, contracts. While we’re at it, let’s address that huge-bonus, tiny-salary problem that seems to be the root of so much current unrest.  Since the only real guaranteed money in the NFL is bonus money, players are heavily incentivized to sign long-term deals—the only kind that can bear the cap weight of big bonii.  Yet, most players and franchises are loath to commit to each other like that.  I’d like to see a cap structure that incentivizes two- and three-year deals with low bonuses, but decently-sized, guaranteed salaries—so we avoid the “What do you mean I’m only due to make $583,000 this year” problem afflicting many young veterans.  It would also cut down on the “I spent my bonus money on a mansion and a Rolls and now I’m broke” syndrome.  Maybe guaranteed base salary should only count towards the cap at fifty cents on the dollar?

Minimum salaries: triple them.  If Ndamukong Suh can avoid dismemberment and Purple Drank for two years, he and his family, and his kids, and their kids, will be set for life.  For the rest of the NFLPA’s rank and file, though, the seven- and eight-digit paydays getting dumped on these rookies (and a few free agents) seem as unattainable as The Big Chair Behind the Mahogany Desk in The Corner Office does to most of us.  Many NFL players will be in and out of the league in just a few years, after exposing themselves to all the same physical risks the stars do—but with a regular job is certainly their long-term future.  Why build a kajillion-dollar warchest to take care of broke retirees, but not also care of them while they’re playing?  A little of that Big Suh money could go a long way towards securing his teammates’ futures.

Return to the DGR model.  The only way to ensure that all 32 teams have guaranteed profitability—no matter their business philosophy—while ensuring competitive levels of talent on the field for all, is to make sure that the player cost is a portion of the shared revenue that all teams receive.  However, I’d re-size that slice to approximate the current total dollars going to the players.

Stock options, and profit sharing.  But wait, what about all the local revenue being generated—and what about the leaguewide enterprises?  If we cut the players out of local revenue, again, owners will be able to hoard cash—and if we cut the players out of NFLN and NFL.com money, they’ll miss out there, too.  Well . . . make the players have to spend money to make money, too.  Why not allow players to purchase stock in their clubs, or have an option to reduce their salary in return for percentage of the team’s profit?  This way, the players help reduce operating costs for the club, while also ensuring for themselves a piece of the windfall they’re helping create.  Further, players being minority owners will help both sides bridge the interest gap, and help turn “NFL vs. NFLPA” into just “NFL.”

Of course, this is all just flowing from my rudimentary understanding of the issues at work—and my rudimentary understanding of business, for that matter!  After all, Pushing Thirty Minivan Me is just that: pushing thirty with a minivan.  I’m not pushing fifty with a Harvard MBA, and I’m not pushing twenty with a Rolls Royce Drophead Coupe.  I’m not in a position to bear investment risk, or rake in dividends off the profit.  I’m the schmuck in line at the gate, ready to part with fistfuls of hard-earned jack I should spend on more important things.  I’m the tool with a family of five, all dressed in jerseys on gameday.  I’m the fool at the bottom of the pyramid scheme, the rube all this is built upon, the mark they’re all getting rich off of . . .

. . . and I’m the kid in front of the TV set, eyes as big as saucers, watching Barry run.  Owners, players, coaches, front office, staff, agents, flaks, and all the rest: please.  Remember me.  Remember us.  Remember who really bears the financial burden here—and ultimately, who really holds the cards.  Baseball, 1994?  Hockey, 2005?  We are the golden goose, and you have your hands around our neck.


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